2021 NFL MVP Award Odds: Mahomes Favored to Win for Second Time

The 2021 NFL season is still several months away from beginning, but that doesn’t mean bettors and fans can’t start thinking about who’ll be the league’s Most Valuable Player. In fact, sportsbooks have already started releasing their odds on the 2021 NFL MVP race.

According to BetOnline’s oddslist, Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is favored to win the 2021 NFL MVP Award at +500 odds. If he’s successful, it’ll be the second time that he’s won the award with the first coming in the 2018 season.

It’s hard not to like Mahomes’ odds. Ever since he entered the league, the 25-year-old has been one of the best players at his position. He’s already thrown for 14,152 yards and 114 touchdowns to 24 interceptions in his young career. If he and the Chiefs can build off their second straight Super Bowl appearance from last season, Mahomes could very well be the 2021 NFL MVP.

Odds to Win 2021 NFL MVP

Odds via BetOnline as of Tuesday, April 13

  • Patrick Mahomes +500
  • Aaron Rodgers +900
  • Josh Allen +1000
  • Lamar Jackson +1400
  • Matthew Stafford +1400
  • Kyler Murray +1600
  • Tom Brady +1600
  • Dak Prescott +1800
  • Deshaun Watson +2200
  • Justin Herbert +2200

Full oddslist available at BetOnline.ag.

Can Aaron Rodgers Win Back-to-Back MVP Awards?

At +900, Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has the second-best 2021 NFL MVP odds. It was also the third time in his career that he’s been named the league’s top player. If Rodgers wins it again in 2021, he’d join NFL legend Peyton Manning as the only other player to win MVP four or more times and the first to win it back-to-back since Manning did it in 2008 and 2009.

As Rodgers enters the 2021 NFL season, he’ll be coming off a campaign that saw him reach 4,299 passing yards and 48 touchdowns to 5 interceptions. He’s one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time and if anyone can improve on an already incredible stat line, it’s him.

Can Tom Brady Win Fourth MVP?

Just when you think Tom Brady can’t accomplish anything else, he goes out and does. Brady joined the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last season, leading them to a Super Bowl victory at the age of 43. Now, he has +1600 odds to become the 2021 NFL MVP. If he’s victorious, it’ll be the fourth time that he’s won the award in his lengthy career. Brady topped 4,600 yards and reached 40 touchdowns last season, proving he’s showing no signs of slowing down.

Henry Has Best Odds of Non-QB Players to Win 2021 NFL MVP Award

Derrick Henry is easily one of the best running backs in the NFL. His career may have begun slowly, but he’s become an absolute beast over the last two seasons with the Tennessee Titans. Since the 2019 NFL season, Henry has recorded 3,567 rushing yards and 33 touchdowns.

Because of this type of skill and performances, Henry has the best odds of any non-QB player to win the 2021 NFL MVP Award at +4000. Despite his immense talents, it’ll take a lot for Henry to win the award. After all, only four non-QBs (all running backs) have won it since the 2000 NFL season. Below are their stat lines to understand the numbers they had to put up to win it:

  • Marshall Faulk (2000): 14 GP 2,189 total yards 26 total touchdowns
  • Shaun Alexander (2005): 16 GP 1,9858 total yards 28 total touchdowns
  • LaDainian Tomlinson (2006): 16 GP 2,323 total yards 31 total touchdowns
  • Adrian Peterson (2012): 16 GP 2,314 total yards 13 total touchdowns.

Aside from comparing him to Peterson, Henry would likely need to put up video game-like numbers if he wanted to win the 2021 NFL MVP Award as a running back.

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Devon Platana
After graduating with a Masters degree in Journalism, Devon joined USGS to improve his sports writing skills. As a lifelong sports fan, one of Devon’s favorite things to do is analyze statistics across all sports.