BMW Championship Odds Heavily Favor Jon Rahm Over the Field

Now that Tony Finau won the delayed Northern Trust on Monday, the golfing world shifts its attention to the next stop on the 2021 PGA TOUR: the BMW Championship. The tournament will be held from Thursday, August 26 to Sunday, August 29 at the Caves Valley Golf Club in Owings Mills, Maryland.

BetOnline has released its 2021 BMW Championship odds, which currently favours Jon Rahm to win the event at +600 odds. This shouldn’t come as much of a surprise, especially as Rahm won last year’s edition of the tournament, winning in a playoff against Dustin Johnson.

It’s been hard to bet against Rahm this year. The 26-year-old has placed top-10 in 65% of the tournaments that he’s competed in. In fact, his recent performances look even more impressive once you realize that he’s placed top-3 in each of his past three events — which includes winning the 2021 U.S. Open back in June. Rahm also has some momentum behind him, as he just tied for third at the Northern Trust.

Considering the above and the fact that Rahm won last year’s BMW Championship, there’s a good chance that he’ll leave Owings Mills with another solid showing under his belt. Whether or not he leaves with the championship remains to be seen.

2021 BMW Championship Odds

Odds via BetOnline as of Tuesday, August 24

  • Jon Rahm (+600)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1600)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2000)
  • Jordan Spieth (+2000)
  • Justin Thomas (+2000)
  • Dustin Johnson (+2200)
  • Brooks Koepka (+2500)
  • Cameron Smith (+2500)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2500)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+2600)
  • Rory McIlroy (+2600)
  • Tony Finau (+2800)
  • Louis Oosthuizen (+3000)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+3000)

Complete odds list is available at

Xander Schauffele BMW Championship Odds

Nobody from the field has as good of a shot at winning the 2021 BMW Championship as Rahm does, however, Xander Schauffele does own the second-best odds at +1600. Last year’s event didn’t treat him that well as the 27-year-old American finished T-25th after shooting 6-over par. Nevertheless, he’s had plenty of time to rebound since then and has looked great at times throughout the current season, including when he won gold at the 2021 Tokyo Olympics.

Since he won his gold medal, Schauffele has placed T-46th and T-16th in the subsequent events he’s competed in, which doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence for those considering him to win the BMW Championship. In fact, he hasn’t even placed top-5 in a PGA Tour event since he tied for third at the Masters Tournament back in April. Nevertheless, anything can happen this week at the BMW Championship. Schauffele is seen as one of the best golfers in the world for a reason, so if anyone can bounce back from a couple of uneventful showings, it’s him.

Dustin Johnson Seeking Third Tournament Win

Since the BMW Championship changed its name from the Western Open in 2007, only two golfers have won the tournament multiple times: Tiger Woods and Dustin Johnson. Now, the latter sits at +2200 odds to be the first golfer to win the event for the third time in the BMW Championship era.

Johnson first won the tournament back in 2010 and won it again for a second time in 2016, which wasn’t too long ago. Following his second victory, Johnson struggled at the event for the next few years, failing to finish better than 24th until last year’s playoff against Rahm. Now, he’ll look to ride that momentum into the 2021 BMW Championship.

While Johnson looks to be a pretty good pick on paper, he’s also had his struggles as of late. While he’s finished top-10 twice in his last four tournaments, the other two events saw him fail to make the cut. Considering how he was in contention to be the best golfer in the world earlier this year, things could be going a lot better for Johnson if he could stay consistent. Fortunately, he has another opportunity to do so if he can pull off a big win at the Caves Valley Golf Club this week.

Devon Platana
Devon Platana

After graduating with a Masters degree in Journalism, Devon joined USGS to improve his sports writing skills. As a lifelong sports fan, one of Devon’s favorite things to do is analyze statistics across all sports.