Super Bowl MVP Odds Favor Rodgers as NFL Playoffs Begin

The 2021 NFL regular season has gone and the postseason has arrived. The NFL Playoffs kick off with Super Wild Card Weekend as teams begin their quest to championship glory. And, of course, all football fans know that whenever a new champion is crowned, so is the Super Bowl MVP.

While it seems like it’s too early to talk about who the Most Valuable Player at Super Bowl 56 will be, that hasn’t stopped oddsmakers from releasing odds on the award. According to Bovada, Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is the Super Bowl MVP favorite at +450 odds.

It’s easy to see why Rodgers would be in this position after the Packers were the best team in the league this season. Unsurprisingly, the 38-year-old gunslinger was a major part of that success. Rodgers completed 68.9% of his passes this season for 4,115 yards and 37 touchdowns to seven interceptions. He also led the league in touchdown (7%) and interception (0.8%) percentage, as well as quarterback rating (111.9) for the second straight year.

With the Packers being Super Bowl favorites, it only makes sense that Rodgers would be the MVP when all is said and done. After all, he won the award nearly a decade ago when Green Bay won Super Bowl XLV. There usually isn’t a player on the roster playing better than him — especially in the playoffs — and that’s a good enough reason to see him being named Super Bowl MVP if the Packers go all the way.

Mahomes Right Behind Rodgers

At +500 odds, Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is right behind Rodgers in the Super Bowl MVP race. The 26-year-old signal-caller has been one of the best at his position since arriving in the NFL and this season was no different. Despite a slow start to the campaign by the team, Mahomes finished the year with 4,839 passing yards (second-best total of his career) while throwing 37 TDs to 13 INTs.

Like Rodgers, Mahomes was a big part of his team’s success, helping the Chiefs go 12-5-0 on the 2021 season. While they didn’t enter the playoffs as the AFC’s No. 1 seed, a lot of experts see them as the team to beat in the conference. Considering how Kansas City has already been to back-to-back Super Bowls, they have all the tools to make it three straight appearances.

Mahomes was the Super Bowl MVP when the Chiefs won it all two seasons ago. If they do indeed appear in football’s finale for the third straight year, expect there to be a pretty good chance of No. 15 walking out as the Most Valuable Player once again.

Tom Brady Super Bowl MVP Odds

Someone else who’s quite familiar with the “Super Bowl MVP” title is none other than Tom Brady. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB has received the honor a total of five times — something no one else in NFL history has done.

Brady won the award for the fifth time last year and he’ll now look to win his second with Tampa Bay. It’s expected to be an uphill battle after the team lost Chris Godwin to a season-ending injury and with Antonio Brown being cut just last week. Still, if there’s anyone who can succeed in the face of adversity, it’s Tom Brady.

Even though he’s 44 years old and in his 22nd NFL campaign, Brady had a season that most would dream of having. The veteran QB led the league when it comes to completions (485), attempts (719), passing yards (5,316) and touchdowns (43). Although the Buccaneers are missing key pieces, it’s hard betting against someone who’s performing on that level.

Brady has +500 odds to be named this year’s Super Bowl MVP (assuming the Buccaneers make it that far). With how well he’s been playing and how the Buccaneers beat any team on any given night, he may just turn those odds into a reality.

Super Bowl MVP Odds Tracker

Odds via Bovada as of Thursday, January 13

  • Aaron Rodgers (+400)
  • Patrick Mahomes (+450)
  • Tom Brady (+500)
  • Josh Allen (+800)
  • Ryan Tannehill (+1000)
  • Dak Prescott (+1200)
  • Matthew Stafford (+1200)
  • Joe Burrow (+2000)
  • Kyler Murray (+2500)
  • Mac Jones (+2500)
  • Jimmy Garoppolo (+2500)

The complete odds list is available at

Devon Platana
Devon Platana

After graduating with a Masters degree in Journalism, Devon joined USGS to improve his sports writing skills. As a lifelong sports fan, one of Devon’s favorite things to do is analyze statistics across all sports.