Valspar Championship Odds: Justin Thomas Favored to Win

The Valspar Championship is the next stop on the 2021 PGA Tour. Some of golf’s top talents will take to the Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club in Palm Harbor, Florida this week. The tournament will begin on Thursday, April 29 and conclude on Sunday, May 2.

Last year’s event was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic, so golf fans are thrilled that this year’s tournament is back on track. With that being said, it’s always interesting to see who sportsbooks are projecting to win this year’s Valspar Championship.

Bovada is leaning towards Justin Thomas winning the Valspar Championship at +900 odds. He’s competed at the event three times in the past, with his best finish coming in 2015 (10th).

When it comes to this year’s PGA Tour, Thomas has found some success. He’s finished in the top-25 in 10 out of the 12 events he’s competed in and recently won the PLAYERS Championship back in March. While it could be anyone’s championship to win this week, look for Thomas to have an impressive showing.

Odds to Win 2021 Valspar Championship

Odds via Bovada as of Tuesday, April 27

  • Justin Thomas (+900)
  • Dustin Johnson (+1200)
  • Patrick Reed (+1800)
  • Corey Conners (+2000)
  • Tyrell Hatton (+2000)
  • Viktor Hovland (+2000)
  • Paul Casey (+2500)
  • Louis Oosthuizen (+2800)
  • Russell Henley (+2800)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+2800)
  • Sungjae Im (+2800)

Complete odds list available at

Valspar Championship: Is Dustin Johnson a Good Pick?

There’s no doubt about it: Dustin Johnson (+1200) is one of the best golfers of the last decade. He certainly has the talent and accolades to back it up. However, since winning the 2020 Masters back in November, Johnson hasn’t been playing his best golf. After multiple disappointing finishes, the golf world saw him at his low as he was cut from the 2021 Masters Tournament in early April.

Nevertheless, Johnson rebounded at the RBC Heritage two weeks ago, finishing T-13th. If he’s able to carry that moment over to this week, he could be a solid pick to win the tournament.

Johnson competed most recently at the 2019 Valspar Championship, finishing 9th.

Casey Looking to Become Three-Time Tournament Winner

At +2500 odds, Paul Casey has a decent shot at winning the Valspar Championship. He’s already won the tournament twice in the past. If that wasn’t already impressive, Casey’s two wins were actually at the two most recent iterations of the Valspar Championship. If he’s successful this week, he’ll be the first golfer to win the tournament three times.

Casey could also use the momentum that a tournament win would bring. After starting off the tour slowly, there was a stretch between January and March where he had four top-10 finishes in a row. Unfortunately, things haven’t looked great since then as Casey has finished in 26th or worse in three events since then, including getting cut at the RBC Heritage. With that being said, judging by his past Valspar Championship victories, Casey could still be a dark horse in Palm Harbor this week.

Valspar Championship: Is This the Year That Reed Finally Wins?

While Casey is a two-time winner, Patrick Reed (+1800) is a two-time runner-up at the Valspar Championship. He’s placed second at the event twice: once in 2015 and again in 2018. He was cut from the 2019 tournament, but he’s since had time to regroup and hope for a better finish. Reed’s been playing well this tour, winning the Farmers Insurance Open in January and recently coming in T-8th at the Masters. If he’s able to bring that momentum to Florida this week, Bovada sees him as having the third-best odds to win the championship.

Devon Platana
Devon Platana

After graduating with a Masters degree in Journalism, Devon joined USGS to improve his sports writing skills. As a lifelong sports fan, one of Devon’s favorite things to do is analyze statistics across all sports.