2021 MLB Win Totals: Dodgers Projected to be Top Team Again

The 2021 MLB Season is right around the corner. In the lead up to Opening Day, experts and fans are talking about everything from who will win the World Series to which players will take home individual awards. Now, sportsbooks have released win totals for each team.

BetOnline was the first sportsbook to make their win totals widely available. They opened the defending World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers with the highest total at 103.5. To hit the OVER on this lofty total, the Dodgers would have to finish with a win percentage of at least 64.2. Just last season, LA finished their abbreviated 80-game schedule with a win percentage of .717.

Where do the other 29 teams fall on the list? Read on to find out.

2021 MLB Win Totals

Totals via BetOnline as of Tuesday, February 23

  • Arizona Diamondbacks: 75.5
  • Atlanta Braves: 92.5
  • Baltimore Orioles: 63.5
  • Boston Red Sox: 80.5
  • Chicago Cubs: 79.5
  • Chicago White Sox: 90.5
  • Cincinnati Reds: 82.5
  • Cleveland Indians: 80.5
  • Colorado Rockies: 63.5
  • Detroit Tigers: 66.5
  • Houston Astros: 87.5
  • Kansas City Royals: 72.5
  • Los Angeles Angels: 82.5
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 103.5
  • Miami Marlins: 72.5
  • Milwaukee Brewers: 82.5
  • Minnesota Twins: 88.5
  • New York Yankees: 95.5
  • New York Mets: 89.5
  • Oakland Athletics: 86.5
  • Philadelphia Phillies: 81.5
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: 59.5
  • San Diego Padres: 95.5
  • San Francisco Giants: 75.5
  • Seattle Mariners: 71.5
  • St. Louis Cardinals: 87.5
  • Tampa Bay Rays: 85.5
  • Texas Rangers: 67.5
  • Toronto Blue Jays: 87.5
  • Washington Nationals: 84.5

Dodgers Projected to Lead MLB in Wins

BetOnline is projecting the Dodgers to lead the Majors in wins next season and it shouldn’t be surprising. Before winning the 2020 World Series, the Dodgers first won 43 out of 60 games in the regular season. That pace would see them win 116 games in a 162-game season. Only the 1906 Chicago Cubs and 2001 Seattle Mariners have ever won that many games.

Most of the Dodgers’ core is returning this season. They’ve also added 2020 NL Cy Young Award winner Trevor Bauer to a rotation that already includes Clayton Kershaw, Walker Buehler and David Price.

Yankees Expected to have Big Season

The 2020 MLB Season could’ve gone better for the Yankees. A 33-27 record saw them finish second in the AL East, seven games back of the Tampa Bay Rays for first. The Yankees then lost in five games to the Rays in the Division Series.

In 2021, BetOnline set the Yankees’ expected win total at 95.5. With bats that belong to Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge and DJ LeMahieu, the Yankees should be scoring runs at will this season. They’ve also brought in SP Corey Kluber to help out with the rotation. It’s possible that last season was a one-off for the Yankees and that they’ll realize their true potential in 2021.

Can Mets Return to the MLB Playoffs?

The New York Mets have not made the playoffs since 2016. They’re hoping that changes this season. BetOnline is projected their win total at 89.5, which should be close enough to be in the playoff hunt.

When the Mets acquired Francisco Lindor and Carlos Carrasco from the Cleveland Indians back in January, it was clear that the organization wanted to win now. With a starting ace like Jacob deGrom, who’s poised to win his third Cy Young Award in four years, expect the Mets to keep be competitive all season long.

Rays Projected to have 3rd-Most Wins in AL East

In 2020, the Tampa Bay Rays made it to the World Series only to lose in six games to the Dodgers. Despite making it that far, the Rays are projected to have the third-most wins (85.5) in the AL East behind the Yankees (95.5) and the Toronto Blue Jays (87.5).

While the Rays did trade away Blake Snell, they brought back Chris Archer to help fill the void. A World Series return may be tough for Tamba Bay, but never count them out.

Will the Padres Surpass 95.5 Wins?

Another team that has lofty expectations for them are the San Diego Padres. In 2020, they made the playoffs for the first time since 2006, losing to the Dodgers in the Division Series. With Fernando Tatis Jr. signing a 14-year, $340 million contract this month, the Padres’ time to win is now.

With a core that consists of pitchers like Yu Darvish and Blake Snell and position players like Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado, the Padres are in good shape to reach 95.5 wins for years to come. The only question is: how soon can they get there?

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Devon Platana
After graduating with a Masters degree in Journalism, Devon joined USGS to improve his sports writing skills. As a lifelong sports fan, one of Devon’s favorite things to do is analyze statistics across all sports.